Saturday, March 29, 2025

Trump - Iran exchanged messages

 

- President Donald Trump threatened Iran with airstrikes and secondary tariffs if no agreement was reached.
- In his message, Trump extended a hand for negotiation but warned against rejecting it.
- Iran’s response: We accept indirect negotiations, but the U.S. must first build trust and abandon its "maximum pressure" and threat-based policies.

Key Negotiation Topics
1. Iran’s Nuclear Program
How far Trump's administration will go in its demands on Tehran remains unclear.
Trump previously stated that Iran must not acquire nuclear weapons.
However, some U.S. officials pushed for the complete dismantling of Iran’s nuclear program.
- Iran will firmly reject this demand, as international law does not prohibit the peaceful use of nuclear technology.
Tehran will insist on its right to uranium enrichment for civilian purposes while pledging not to develop nuclear weapons.
If the U.S. raises its expectations to include full dismantlement, negotiations will likely stall and hit a dead end.

2. Iran’s Missile Program
Iran views its missile program as a fundamental part of its national defense strategy.
Tehran considers this program non-negotiable and has ruled it out as a discussion point.

3. Iran’s Regional Influence
Iran regards its regional presence as a form of "forward defense."
Over the past two years, Iran's axis has suffered major setbacks, particularly in Syria, following the collapse of the Assad regime.
U.S. negotiators will focus mainly on Iran’s role in Yemen.
However, The Houthis (Ansar Allah), supported by Iran since 2015, are Iran's allies rather than mere proxies.
Even if Iran halts military aid, securing major compromises from Yemeni factions will be difficult.

Conclusion
According to the 2025 U.S. Threat Assessment Report, Iran is not seen as an immediate or direct threat to American interests (in the meantime).
Therefore, a new nuclear agreement with the Trump administration could be possible—unless Washington’s pro-Israel lobby exerts significant pressure to derail negotiations by introducing conditions Iran cannot accept.

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